Our Bots
Three models. Each one scans for a different pattern on Polymarket.
Insider & Whale Bot
Monitors on-chain wallet activity on Polygon. When a wallet with a strong track record loads a position with unusual size or timing, the bot flags it. You get the wallet, market, size, price impact, and a composite conviction score explaining exactly why it was flagged.
How it scans
- Watches thousands of wallets across Polymarket's Polygon contracts in real time
- Scores each trade on wallet age, size anomaly, concentration, conviction, and proximity to resolution
- Composite score from 0-100 — only fires above a set threshold to filter noise
- Tracks repeat flagged wallets — wallets flagged multiple times tend to be sharper
Why it works
Some wallets consistently win on Polymarket. When they move big and early, the market price tends to follow. This bot identifies those moves before the price adjusts. It's not about knowing the future — it's about following the money that seems to.
Full breakdown →Weather Bot
Polymarket runs thousands of weather contracts daily — city-level temperature, precipitation, wind speed. Our model aggregates real forecast data from multiple sources and compares it to what the market is pricing. When there's a gap, you get a signal.
How it scans
- Pulls forecast data from NOAA, ECMWF, GFS, and proprietary sources
- Compares consensus forecast against current Polymarket contract odds
- Calculates the edge — difference between forecast probability and market price
- Fires signals with city, direction, confidence score, and expected edge percentage
Why it works
Weather forecasts are surprisingly accurate 24-48 hours out. Polymarket odds often lag behind the latest model runs by hours. This bot catches those windows before the market corrects itself.
Full breakdown →VolArb Bot
Compares implied volatility from traditional options markets against Polymarket prediction pricing. When those two price the same event differently, there's an exploitable gap. This bot finds it.
How it scans
- Monitors options-implied volatility and cross-references with Polymarket contract prices
- Filters by CLOB order book depth to avoid illiquid traps
- Scores each signal 0-10 on conviction before delivery
- Includes confidence band, cross-venue, and NC sub-scanner outputs
Why it works
Options markets and prediction markets price the same events through different lenses. When they disagree significantly, one of them is wrong. This bot finds those disagreements. Still being actively tuned, but showing real promise in backtesting and live trading.
Full breakdown →